Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 169.864422 201.189965 239.528838 290.891086 359.497390 450.473102 5.848572e+02
2025-01-12 128.313034 164.313284 213.976491 290.874739 414.073637 619.228035 1.030594e+03
2025-01-19 105.414997 141.488766 195.103778 286.531065 453.667440 788.473414 1.687679e+03
2025-01-26 95.906093 134.271822 195.340383 309.696875 549.578108 1144.882599 3.552033e+03
2025-02-02 91.837257 133.910624 205.574553 353.512063 715.790198 1898.450537 1.156086e+04
2025-02-09 82.172099 122.479430 193.746300 349.341626 768.374075 2423.281032 2.995373e+04
2025-02-16 75.681535 115.245063 187.823383 355.586646 855.904395 3338.227234 1.815527e+05
2025-02-23 69.806808 108.149906 180.639547 356.430443 930.178913 4504.224971 1.843682e+09
2025-03-02 65.262108 102.788794 175.827917 361.573217 1027.455535 6460.063844 NaN
2025-03-09 61.385094 98.136259 171.595573 366.933372 1135.097085 9676.897570 NaN
2025-03-16 56.868763 91.745554 162.606455 356.370658 1165.710355 12521.832753 NaN
2025-03-23 55.098366 90.432601 164.501439 378.407020 1389.634071 26935.810340 NaN
2025-03-30 50.709106 83.826944 154.166513 362.116410 1401.480806 38112.712355 NaN
2025-04-06 47.773146 79.889265 149.566789 363.664294 1540.953857 89412.619468 NaN
2025-04-13 44.799702 75.556918 143.349055 357.829181 1629.871973 229319.350551 NaN
2025-04-20 43.928935 75.443441 147.307481 389.814294 2109.008085 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 44.108392 77.549337 157.293262 451.244903 3195.591634 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 41.763055 73.913410 151.564684 445.345546 3444.200900 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 40.123416 71.678963 149.290294 454.183748 4023.597096 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 38.396187 69.086828 145.635751 455.379786 4523.334809 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 36.986211 67.087723 143.365031 462.678946 5292.275180 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 35.692886 65.241906 141.268101 470.304034 6247.019323 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 33.946583 62.211036 135.307990 455.295029 6383.787497 NaN NaN